ComplicatedLady
Pearl Clutcher
Posts: 3,182 
Location: Valley of the Sun
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Post by ComplicatedLady on May 25, 2020 15:52:01 GMT
Arizona is starting to trend in the right direction.
However, I think many of our recent cases have been in Northern Arizona near the Navajo Nation.
That is not under control at all.
Phoenix is probably ok to start opening, which is good since we started on May 15th.
Our testing is abysmal so prevalence of the illness is hard to assess.
The next couple of weeks will show us for sure.
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Post by birukitty on May 25, 2020 15:56:52 GMT
Also in Maryland going by Monica*'s link, we are still in the Red phase which means we are one of the state's a high level of Covid cases at this point in time. I think part of that is due to the close proximity we have to Washington DC (another very high Covid case spot). Here in this tri-state area, if you haven't been here, we can drive from Maryland to Washington DC to Virginia (if there's no traffic) in an hour or less so it makes sense to me.
I must say though I think our Maryland governor Larry Hogan is doing a great job with his decisions on handling this pandemic. He isn't following Trump's plans at all-Hogan's plans are much more strict as I've mentioned before on this board but even with those strict plans we still have a high level of cases. I think we are one of the few states that had a mandatory mask policy for people over 9 in public indoor places or you're faced with a $5,000 fine or a one year imprisonment and still we are one of the red states. That is scary. Makes me more determined to follow my initial gut instincts and stay SIP instead of going out once things open up.
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pancakes
Drama Llama
Posts: 5,002
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Post by pancakes on May 25, 2020 17:50:53 GMT
Illinois is slowly opening up — we have a pretty good governor. But Chicago is still quite strict, and I don’t mind at all. Our mayor even has memes about her strictness.
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Post by sassyangel on May 25, 2020 23:21:05 GMT
I’m not really sure where we are at. I don’t watch the governors daily briefings, but I might start - so I can be informed. We are testing A LOT. Personally it seems to me like they have that aspect well under control. Impressively so, actually. I’ve been critical of my governor during the shut down phase, only in thinking it could have and should have gone a bit further. But I think he’s actually done a reasonable job of reopening so far. Our cases are increasing, but the more you test, if you’re doing it right - the more you should find? They are working up to testing 8,000 a day in June - which for a state this size seems very good. You want to test enough people that the percentage is low. So yeah, more testing = more cases overall, but it’s better to test 1000 people and have 50 cases than to test 100 people and have 20 cases. By my own calculations of the daily figures released, which includes total tests, new tests (as opposed to total tests which includes retests of people currently sick with it) and positive and negative results - it seems like our positive rate has held fairly steady at 3.5%? I can’t imagine a decrease in that will be down until they test more every day? They are testing a couple of thousand a day. Averaging 40-100 positives? I really have no idea how that stacks up nationally or even vs the gateway parameters though. 😕 |
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Post by compeateropeator on May 25, 2020 23:44:15 GMT
Vermont has meet most of the criteria and we are still reopening slowly.
As of Friday we:
1. meet testing capacity per person
2. meet the criteria for hospital beds and icu utilization
3. 14 days of declining cases - Technically, Vermont does not meet that criteria. While the state has seen an overall decline in new cases per day since mid-April, there has not been a 14-day period in which cases have continuously declined.
4. Lowering positivity rate - Vermont has one of the lowest cumulative positivity rate in the nation, with only 4% of tests coming back positive since the start of the crisis. The positivity rate of tests has also declined over time, according to the latest state model presentation.
5. Declining influenza-like illness cases - data shows that the number of people cropping up with each has declined.
6. Number of contact tracers - Vermont has promised in recent weeks to step up contact tracing efforts. The National Association of County and City Health Officials estimates that each state should have about 30 contact tracers per 100,000 people to truly meet pandemic needs. Vermont is still falling short on that metric. The state has 53 contact tracers, or an estimated 8.49 contact tracers per 100,000 people.
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