Post by aj2hall on Aug 29, 2024 2:46:18 GMT
Voter registrations are up!
heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/august-27-2024
Pollster Tom Bonier noted what he called “the Harris Effect”: the 13 states that have updated their voters files since July 21—when Biden said he would not accept the Democratic nomination for president—have seen “incredible surges in voter registration relative to the same time period in 2020, driven by women, voters of color, and young voters.”
The registrations of young Black women have almost tripled compared with the same period in 2020. The registrations of young Hispanic women are up by 150%. “Black women overall have almost doubled their registration numbers from 2020,” Bonier wrote.
These changes benefit Democrats, Bonier noted. “Democratic registration has increased by over 50%, as compared to only 7% for Republicans. These new registrants are modeled as +20 pts Dem, as compared to +6 during the same week in 2020.”
The Cook Political Report today moved the electoral votes of Minnesota, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, and the governor's races in North Carolina and Washington, toward the Democrats. Minnesota, New Hampshire, and the Washington governor have gone from leaning Democratic to likely Democratic wins; the North Carolina governor’s race has gone from Toss Up to Lean Democratic; North Carolina has gone from Lean Republican to Toss Up.
The new revised charges against Trump and the appeal in the documents case are also good news. The revised charges against Trump are stronger and both actions will keep the court cases in the news.
As a side note, I saw my first Harris-Walz sign yesterday. I'm finally starting to feel optimistic. With the change in the ticket, momentum is swinging in the Democrats' favor. Hoping the democrats can ride this high a little longer.
In comparison, Trump is not having a good week. The disaster at Arlington, the appeal in the documents case, Jack Smith filing revised charges and Trump's resulting meltdown on truth social, Trump reposting of the crude sexual remarks towards Harris and Clinton and Trump is so desperate for money, he's silly crypto currency again. I imagine Trump thought he was in clear with the Supreme Court and Judge Canon's rulings, only for both cases to be essentially re-opened this week. And he thought he had a good chance of beating Biden and making all of those charges disappear completely. Now that he's running against Harris -Walz with Vance as his VP, his chances are not looking as good.
heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/august-27-2024
Pollster Tom Bonier noted what he called “the Harris Effect”: the 13 states that have updated their voters files since July 21—when Biden said he would not accept the Democratic nomination for president—have seen “incredible surges in voter registration relative to the same time period in 2020, driven by women, voters of color, and young voters.”
The registrations of young Black women have almost tripled compared with the same period in 2020. The registrations of young Hispanic women are up by 150%. “Black women overall have almost doubled their registration numbers from 2020,” Bonier wrote.
These changes benefit Democrats, Bonier noted. “Democratic registration has increased by over 50%, as compared to only 7% for Republicans. These new registrants are modeled as +20 pts Dem, as compared to +6 during the same week in 2020.”
The Cook Political Report today moved the electoral votes of Minnesota, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, and the governor's races in North Carolina and Washington, toward the Democrats. Minnesota, New Hampshire, and the Washington governor have gone from leaning Democratic to likely Democratic wins; the North Carolina governor’s race has gone from Toss Up to Lean Democratic; North Carolina has gone from Lean Republican to Toss Up.
The new revised charges against Trump and the appeal in the documents case are also good news. The revised charges against Trump are stronger and both actions will keep the court cases in the news.
As a side note, I saw my first Harris-Walz sign yesterday. I'm finally starting to feel optimistic. With the change in the ticket, momentum is swinging in the Democrats' favor. Hoping the democrats can ride this high a little longer.
In comparison, Trump is not having a good week. The disaster at Arlington, the appeal in the documents case, Jack Smith filing revised charges and Trump's resulting meltdown on truth social, Trump reposting of the crude sexual remarks towards Harris and Clinton and Trump is so desperate for money, he's silly crypto currency again. I imagine Trump thought he was in clear with the Supreme Court and Judge Canon's rulings, only for both cases to be essentially re-opened this week. And he thought he had a good chance of beating Biden and making all of those charges disappear completely. Now that he's running against Harris -Walz with Vance as his VP, his chances are not looking as good.
