pinklady
Drama Llama
Posts: 6,064
Nov 14, 2016 23:47:03 GMT
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Post by pinklady on Jul 18, 2024 13:35:12 GMT
The issue is the large number of undecided voters. There is no such thing as an undecided voter. This is media bullshit. Someone who says they are "undecided" is pro-trump but refuses to admit it.
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dawnnikol
Prolific Pea
'A life without books is a life not lived.' Jay Kristoff
Posts: 8,556
Sept 21, 2015 18:39:25 GMT
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Post by dawnnikol on Jul 18, 2024 13:41:24 GMT
Fuck the polls and the media.
From Mueller:
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Post by crazy4scraps on Jul 18, 2024 13:45:01 GMT
I don’t know how representative it is, but a huge majority of the comments I see on social media and what I hear people saying in person is that they will vote for Biden despite thinking he is too old. That's not data. He's down in the polls and sinking. But who exactly is responding to those polls? I’m as blue as they come these days and I delete every single text message and email poll I get, to the tune of literally dozens of them a week. If other Dems are like me, we’re not being counted in those polls because we refuse to engage. It doesn’t mean I’m not going to vote blue no matter who up and down the ticket when Election Day rolls around. For that reason alone, I’m not putting a whole lot of stock in poll numbers. Polls mean nothing. Votes are what matter.
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3boysnme
Full Member
Posts: 405
Aug 1, 2023 13:28:26 GMT
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Post by 3boysnme on Jul 18, 2024 13:56:31 GMT
That's not data. He's down in the polls and sinking. But who exactly is responding to those polls? I’m as blue as they come these days and I delete every single text message and email poll I get, to the tune of literally dozens of them a week. If other Dems are like me, we’re not being counted in those polls because we refuse to engage. It doesn’t mean I’m not going to vote blue no matter who up and down the ticket when Election Day rolls around. For that reason alone, I’m not putting a whole lot of stock in poll numbers. Polls mean nothing. Votes are what matter. Exactly. Polls mean literally nothing these days. I will not answer an email, text message or Facebook post about who am I voting for or if I support anyone. The one time I did, I got bombarded by emails and texts. So I refuse to answer them now. If they didn't require my email or phone number, then maybe. But they've all required it that I've seen.
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Post by lisae on Jul 18, 2024 14:59:12 GMT
The issue is the large number of undecided voters. There is no such thing as an undecided voter. This is media bullshit. Someone who says they are "undecided" is pro-trump but refuses to admit it. I live with one. He doesn't like either candidate. Right now he is leaning toward Kennedy as a protest vote but is open to a better option. And if you believe that everyone who hasn't committed is pro-Trump then it's over. Trump has won. I will agree that there are a lot of people who won't admit they are voting for Trump which is why he always comes in better than his polling numbers.
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breetheflea
Drama Llama
Posts: 6,584
Location: PNW
Jul 20, 2014 21:57:23 GMT
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Post by breetheflea on Jul 18, 2024 15:08:47 GMT
There is no such thing as an undecided voter. This is media bullshit. Someone who says they are "undecided" is pro-trump but refuses to admit it. I live with one. He doesn't like either candidate. Right now he is leaning toward Kennedy as a protest vote but is open to a better option. And if you believe that everyone who hasn't committed is pro-Trump then it's over. Trump has won. I will agree that there are a lot of people who won't admit they are voting for Trump which is why he always comes in better than his polling numbers. My DH also. His current stance is he just won't vote.
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dawnnikol
Prolific Pea
'A life without books is a life not lived.' Jay Kristoff
Posts: 8,556
Sept 21, 2015 18:39:25 GMT
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Post by dawnnikol on Jul 18, 2024 15:18:24 GMT
I live with one. He doesn't like either candidate. Right now he is leaning toward Kennedy as a protest vote but is open to a better option. My DH also. His current stance is he just won't vote. Well, there's a reason the top donors (prior to El*n saying he's giving $45million PER MONTH), have also been top donors to Kennedy. Not voting and third party are what they're hoping for because it helps TFG. You have to hand it to the Conservatives, at least their party will rally to support one guy, even if he's a fucking lying, convicted felon who sells the office to the highest bidder.
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scrappinmama
Drama Llama
Posts: 5,121
Jun 26, 2014 12:54:09 GMT
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Post by scrappinmama on Jul 18, 2024 15:19:27 GMT
Polls have been proven to be ineffective in determining who the leader is. Just look at Clinton Vs Trump. She was leading. Republicans want us feeling hopeless. Hopeless people stay home and don't vote. I am voting Democrat, whether it's Biden or someone else. I would be perfectly fine with a Harris/Buttigieg ticket if it came to that. I would also be fine with whoever ended up as the Democratic nominee. I will never, NEVER vote Republican. And a 3rd party candidate favors Trump so hell no to that.
We are voting to protect our democracy, not voting for a candidate. If you want to protect our democracy and life as we know it, then vote Democrat. If you read Project 2025 and like what you see, then by all means vote Republican or 3rd party. But don't bitch about it when you see how horrible that decision was.
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seaexplore
Prolific Pea
Posts: 8,878
Apr 25, 2015 23:57:30 GMT
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Post by seaexplore on Jul 18, 2024 15:19:32 GMT
Me too Biden, me too. Hope he gets over it soon! I hope you both have mild cases and are feeling much better soon! Thank you! 🥰 I’m over mine- tested negative, yesterday, 8 days after getting sick. I was over it in 3-4 days. The only reason initially tested was because on day 3 I couldn’t taste my peanut butter and banana smoothie- those are strong flavors and nothing! I was just chilling at home riding out whatever crud I had 😂. My husband got it but neither kid did. He better too aside from a cough.
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seaexplore
Prolific Pea
Posts: 8,878
Apr 25, 2015 23:57:30 GMT
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Post by seaexplore on Jul 18, 2024 15:21:15 GMT
I live with one. He doesn't like either candidate. Right now he is leaning toward Kennedy as a protest vote but is open to a better option. And if you believe that everyone who hasn't committed is pro-Trump then it's over. Trump has won. I will agree that there are a lot of people who won't admit they are voting for Trump which is why he always comes in better than his polling numbers. My DH also. His current stance is he just won't vote. Genuine question …. Better to vote 3rd party or not vote at all? To me it seems like one in the same?
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scrappinmama
Drama Llama
Posts: 5,121
Jun 26, 2014 12:54:09 GMT
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Post by scrappinmama on Jul 18, 2024 15:26:18 GMT
He looked so frail coming out of Air Force One. And why wasn't he wearing a mask? He tested positive, shouldn't he wear a mask to protect the people around him?
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breetheflea
Drama Llama
Posts: 6,584
Location: PNW
Jul 20, 2014 21:57:23 GMT
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Post by breetheflea on Jul 18, 2024 15:27:36 GMT
My DH also. His current stance is he just won't vote. Genuine question …. Better to vote 3rd party or not vote at all? To me it seems like one in the same? We live in a blue state (WA) so it's not going to matter either way. If we lived in a swing state or one that split the electoral votes it would be different.
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Post by peasapie on Jul 18, 2024 15:37:48 GMT
Well, let me preface this to say, I WONT vote for Trump and his VP puck is even worse imo But, it occurred to me, that the longer ‘they’ wait to make a change ( if a change is going to be made ) the less time Trump has to verbally bash them, less time he has to have his fixers dig into their lives to destroy them. Especially if it’s not the VP who he’s already been bashing. The issue is, is there anyone younger, healthy, that everyone likes and that undecided bigots will vote for? I don’t know. Meanwhile I keep looking at the declared candidates for NJ governor next year and the Dems have several really qualified great candidates I could be happy with nearly all of them( only 1 I don’t like ) . But that won’t help much if the US is fascist. Yes I feel the same as you. I will never, ever vote for Trump; however, many people who would have voted Democratic feel Biden is too old and infirm and won't vote for him. They will stay home. We can't have that. I think Dems have plenty of good choices: California Governor Newsom, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker among others. But they won't step up until Biden steps aside.
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Post by crazy4scraps on Jul 18, 2024 16:26:24 GMT
Well, let me preface this to say, I WONT vote for Trump and his VP puck is even worse imo But, it occurred to me, that the longer ‘they’ wait to make a change ( if a change is going to be made ) the less time Trump has to verbally bash them, less time he has to have his fixers dig into their lives to destroy them. Especially if it’s not the VP who he’s already been bashing. The issue is, is there anyone younger, healthy, that everyone likes and that undecided bigots will vote for? I don’t know. Meanwhile I keep looking at the declared candidates for NJ governor next year and the Dems have several really qualified great candidates I could be happy with nearly all of them( only 1 I don’t like ) . But that won’t help much if the US is fascist. Yes I feel the same as you. I will never, ever vote for Trump; however, many people who would have voted Democratic feel Biden is too old and infirm and won't vote for him. They will stay home. We can't have that. I think Dems have plenty of good choices: California Governor Newsom, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker among others. But they won't step up until Biden steps aside. But as good as any of them might be, they’d still be coming in very late to the game considering Trump has been literally fundraising for the last 3+ years already. And then what happens to the millions already committed to Biden’s campaign? Please correct me if I’m wrong, but I’ve read only Harris can use it and only if she’s at the top of the ticket. If someone else is the presidential nominee it’s a whole new campaign and those funds can’t be easily funneled to it.
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dawnnikol
Prolific Pea
'A life without books is a life not lived.' Jay Kristoff
Posts: 8,556
Sept 21, 2015 18:39:25 GMT
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Post by dawnnikol on Jul 18, 2024 17:01:29 GMT
For example:
Polls show "about half" believe Trump should serve prison time for his felony conviction in the election interference (what they continue to call "hush money") case.
But also "they" are saying "nearly 2/3 of Dems" want Biden to drop out. The same survey shows 57% of Americans want Trump to withdraw. What's the headline? The one about Dems.
Again I say: "We must, indeed, all hang together or, most assuredly, we shall all hang separately."
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Post by hopemax on Jul 18, 2024 17:41:02 GMT
There is no such thing as an undecided voter. This is media bullshit. Someone who says they are "undecided" is pro-trump but refuses to admit it. I live with one. He doesn't like either candidate. Right now he is leaning toward Kennedy as a protest vote but is open to a better option. And if you believe that everyone who hasn't committed is pro-Trump then it's over. Trump has won. I will agree that there are a lot of people who won't admit they are voting for Trump which is why he always comes in better than his polling numbers. He is okay with Trump winning. That's what a protest vote means. "I don't care enough about one of the possible outcomes to do whatever it takes to *prevent* it from happening." So to be fair, he would also be okay with the Democrat winning. Which tells me primarily, he doesn't believe his life will be affected by who wins or loses; there is no personal consequences to this protest. And what might happen to other people, doesn't matter either. Even people close to him, like you, since all sorts of women's issues and basic healthcare will be impacted. Not nice to hear, but we've all read enough around here about non-political situations where a person's close friend or family don't "get" their suffering, and how they should react. Chris Hayes is now on MSNBC, but 20 years ago during the Bush / Kerry campaign he was just a freelancer and wrote about undecided voters he experienced while canvassing, and the takeaway for me is how disconnected undecideds are from the world at large. Cause and effect; big picture type stuff. And an extreme pessimism, which we often hear. But given what's happened since, a whole ton of metrics can improve, not by a little but by a lot, and it's all reframed as statistical lies and didn't really happen. That goes beyond pessimism, and back to the "disconnection." Here's an archived link to his old blog post. The blog still exists, but it gives a security error because it was written before the https protocol. archive.is/V3sbxAlthough, at this point... definitely one of his conclusions, Democrats need to be more focused on values and character, I think has been proven to be false. While some people say character matters, when push comes to shove, it was simply an excuse to justify what they wanted for other reasons. The second, get people to care about issues again... well that's where the reaction to Project 2025 comes in. For these "undecideds" I don't think even this will resonate, unless someone is really upset that the NOAA weather reports about hurricanes and other big weather events would cease. Make it extremely personal. Otherwise, they will simply retreat into their "nothing ever really changes" worldview, which means all of this is reacting over something that will never actually happen. It may be resonating with people who weren't paying attention at all, and didn't realize they wrote it all down, and are actually quite serious about these proposals; not just stump speeches. But until we start seeing a lot more movement in things like voter registration, and some polling... people get upset about lots of things without ever being motivated to prevent it. So while there is such a thing as an undecided voter, the way the media and campaigns fawn over them as some sort of bastion of moderate, rational virtue, IMO is entirely underserved. Our future is way to important to leave it to the extremely pessimistic and disconnected sliver of humanity.
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Post by smasonnc on Jul 18, 2024 18:15:29 GMT
That's not data. He's down in the polls and sinking. But who exactly is responding to those polls? I’m as blue as they come these days and I delete every single text message and email poll I get, to the tune of literally dozens of them a week. If other Dems are like me, we’re not being counted in those polls because we refuse to engage. It doesn’t mean I’m not going to vote blue no matter who up and down the ticket when Election Day rolls around. For that reason alone, I’m not putting a whole lot of stock in poll numbers. Polls mean nothing. Votes are what matter. People deny data so they can believe what they want to believe. They rely on the opinions of those around them who all share similar views instead of looking at the numbers. I hope there are millions of Biden voters out there not picking up their phones when the pollsters call, but it's not likely. My guess would be there are just as many Trump voters doing the same thing. I like to rely on data, not hope.
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Post by crazy4scraps on Jul 18, 2024 18:34:41 GMT
But who exactly is responding to those polls? I’m as blue as they come these days and I delete every single text message and email poll I get, to the tune of literally dozens of them a week. If other Dems are like me, we’re not being counted in those polls because we refuse to engage. It doesn’t mean I’m not going to vote blue no matter who up and down the ticket when Election Day rolls around. For that reason alone, I’m not putting a whole lot of stock in poll numbers. Polls mean nothing. Votes are what matter. People deny data so they can believe what they want to believe. They rely on the opinions of those around them who all share similar views instead of looking at the numbers. I hope there are millions of Biden voters out there not picking up their phones when the pollsters call, but it's not likely. My guess would be there are just as many Trump voters doing the same thing. I like to rely on data, not hope. Which is exactly why I don’t put much faith in polls. A poll can be skewed in a hundred different ways based on how the questions are worded, who chooses to respond (or not), etc. I choose to look at what has happened in recent elections. Democrats have prevailed, abortion rights measures that make it to the ballot are passing, etc. Those are things that give me a little hope because they are concrete, measurable data.
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dawnnikol
Prolific Pea
'A life without books is a life not lived.' Jay Kristoff
Posts: 8,556
Sept 21, 2015 18:39:25 GMT
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Post by dawnnikol on Jul 18, 2024 19:32:45 GMT
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Post by sunshine on Jul 18, 2024 19:52:53 GMT
It must suck to have covid while being repeatedly stabbed in the back.
The dems don’t play around.
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dawnnikol
Prolific Pea
'A life without books is a life not lived.' Jay Kristoff
Posts: 8,556
Sept 21, 2015 18:39:25 GMT
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Post by dawnnikol on Jul 18, 2024 20:49:51 GMT
It must suck to have covid while being repeatedly stabbed in the back. The dems don’t play around. On this, we can absolutely agree.
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Post by Laurie on Jul 18, 2024 20:55:29 GMT
It must suck to have covid while being repeatedly stabbed in the back. The dems don’t play around. ^Truth Listen, typically Biden isn't on my side of the aisle. However, I feel it shameful how he is being treated at the moment. It makes me incredibly sad.
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Post by sunshine on Jul 18, 2024 21:09:59 GMT
It must suck to have covid while being repeatedly stabbed in the back. The dems don’t play around. ^Truth Listen, typically Biden isn't on my side of the aisle. However, I feel it shameful how he is being treated at the moment. It makes me incredibly sad. I’m not usually shocked with politics, but I can honestly say watching this play out has been shocking. I do hope for a quick and full recovery.
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Post by karenk on Jul 18, 2024 21:13:29 GMT
As we are talking about polls, etc, let me tell you what is happening in my household. I am a democrat, and I keep getting Trump texts..I AM DONALD TRUMP AND I WILL MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN. FEAR NOT.. STAND WITH ME TODAY. Caps are from the text, not from me.
My brother who is a Republican gets stuff from Biden, not daily, but multiple times a day. So, why are they wasting their breath sending to the people who in a million years won’t vote for them?
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Post by hop2 on Jul 18, 2024 21:34:51 GMT
I live with one. He doesn't like either candidate. Right now he is leaning toward Kennedy as a protest vote but is open to a better option. And if you believe that everyone who hasn't committed is pro-Trump then it's over. Trump has won. I will agree that there are a lot of people who won't admit they are voting for Trump which is why he always comes in better than his polling numbers. He is okay with Trump winning. That's what a protest vote means. "I don't care enough about one of the possible outcomes to do whatever it takes to *prevent* it from happening." So to be fair, he would also be okay with the Democrat winning. Which tells me primarily, he doesn't believe his life will be affected by who wins or loses; there is no personal consequences to this protest. And what might happen to other people, doesn't matter either. Even people close to him, like you, since all sorts of women's issues and basic healthcare will be impacted. Not nice to hear, but we've all read enough around here about non-political situations where a person's close friend or family don't "get" their suffering, and how they should react. Chris Hayes is now on MSNBC, but 20 years ago during the Bush / Kerry campaign he was just a freelancer and wrote about undecided voters he experienced while canvassing, and the takeaway for me is how disconnected undecideds are from the world at large. Cause and effect; big picture type stuff. And an extreme pessimism, which we often hear. But given what's happened since, a whole ton of metrics can improve, not by a little but by a lot, and it's all reframed as statistical lies and didn't really happen. That goes beyond pessimism, and back to the "disconnection." Here's an archived link to his old blog post. The blog still exists, but it gives a security error because it was written before the https protocol. archive.is/V3sbxAlthough, at this point... definitely one of his conclusions, Democrats need to be more focused on values and character, I think has been proven to be false. While some people say character matters, when push comes to shove, it was simply an excuse to justify what they wanted for other reasons. The second, get people to care about issues again... well that's where the reaction to Project 2025 comes in. For these "undecideds" I don't think even this will resonate, unless someone is really upset that the NOAA weather reports about hurricanes and other big weather events would cease. Make it extremely personal. Otherwise, they will simply retreat into their "nothing ever really changes" worldview, which means all of this is reacting over something that will never actually happen. It may be resonating with people who weren't paying attention at all, and didn't realize they wrote it all down, and are actually quite serious about these proposals; not just stump speeches. But until we start seeing a lot more movement in things like voter registration, and some polling... people get upset about lots of things without ever being motivated to prevent it. So while there is such a thing as an undecided voter, the way the media and campaigns fawn over them as some sort of bastion of moderate, rational virtue, IMO is entirely underserved. Our future is way to important to leave it to the extremely pessimistic and disconnected sliver of humanity. Yeah I did a protest vote when McCain was running, he was the last GOP candidate I had any respect for. But The Fascist regime of agenda 47 which is directly on Trumps website so it’s his agenda, is a full no go for me. In addition to what he did to the SCOTUS as 45. And if someone is staying home to protest in terms of Gaza just go listen to what Jared Kushner wants to do in Gaza to know letting Trump get in would unleash any restraint there may have been from the US because they want the land to develop, he’s said it out loud how much money they could make. Sick
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3boysnme
Full Member
Posts: 405
Aug 1, 2023 13:28:26 GMT
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Post by 3boysnme on Jul 18, 2024 21:52:21 GMT
As we are talking about polls, etc, let me tell you what is happening in my household. I am a democrat, and I keep getting Trump texts..I AM DONALD TRUMP AND I WILL MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN. FEAR NOT.. STAND WITH ME TODAY. Caps are from the text, not from me. My brother who is a Republican gets stuff from Biden, not daily, but multiple times a day. So, why are they wasting their breath sending to the people who in a million years won’t vote for them? I received a text from trump's team, and I wrote back that "trump is a crap weasel." Never heard back from them.
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pilcas
Pearl Clutcher
Posts: 3,237
Aug 14, 2015 21:47:17 GMT
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Post by pilcas on Jul 18, 2024 22:01:41 GMT
I also got a text from Trump once. It said something like will you stand with Trump? I answered Hell no!
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pantsonfire
Drama Llama
Take a step back, evaluate what is important, and enjoy your life with those who you love.
Posts: 6,259
Jun 19, 2022 16:48:04 GMT
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Post by pantsonfire on Jul 18, 2024 22:24:44 GMT
I have friends posting this...
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pantsonfire
Drama Llama
Take a step back, evaluate what is important, and enjoy your life with those who you love.
Posts: 6,259
Jun 19, 2022 16:48:04 GMT
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Post by pantsonfire on Jul 18, 2024 22:26:15 GMT
These are Democrats that don't want to vote for Biden because of what is going on in Palestine. When I ask how Trump would be better I get silence. They firmly believe Biden can stop what is going on.
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samantha25
Pearl Clutcher
Posts: 3,183
Jun 27, 2014 19:06:19 GMT
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Post by samantha25 on Jul 18, 2024 22:40:29 GMT
As we are talking about polls, etc, let me tell you what is happening in my household. I am a democrat, and I keep getting Trump texts..I AM DONALD TRUMP AND I WILL MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN. FEAR NOT.. STAND WITH ME TODAY. Caps are from the text, not from me. My brother who is a Republican gets stuff from Biden, not daily, but multiple times a day. So, why are they wasting their breath sending to the people who in a million years won’t vote for them? I received a text from trump's team, and I wrote back that "trump is a crap weasel." Never heard back from them. Did the texts really stop? I'm surprised they didn't keep sending them because you responded.
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