How long do you think the shutdowns will end up being?

We have had trips canceled already for early June in California and mid June in Jackson Hole, Wy. 

Who were they cancelled by? The hotel?

Yes, the hotels. 

I truly truly believe that if people would jus take this SERIOUSLY and stay home, it will flatten. But some states are behind the 8 ball at this point and I fear for them.

The issue with the peak that most aren’t considering is that each case that needs to be hospitalized ends up needing to be in the hospital for THREE weeks. It is a long-lasting virus - it is not the flu - it is MUCH WORSE.

So, even when each state peaks, all the cases from up to 3 weeks before are STILL in the hospital and the fewer cases are just loading on top of those already in the hospital.

There will be no quick recovery and quick opening of public spaces.

These aren’t scare tactics, just the truth.

Oh I agree. I also think some good treatments are on the way to help those in the hospitals.

We are beginning our 4th week in WNY. I don’t think we are going back

I want to say most restrictions will be lifted by the end of April with stipulations in place like restaurants being told to do half capacity and limiting indoor events for a while longer.

While I don't think this is going away anytime soon, I don't think the average person is going to tolerate a shut down that goes into May.

We've just gotten started here in Nebraska. I don't know if we'll have a shorter duration since we are getting hit later and they can build on what they know/develop on the early epicenters, or if it just means we'll be shut down longer. My company is closed March 17 and our new reopen date is April 30. however, that date has changed three times and I don't expect we will reopen until June at the very earliest. And I really think that is unlikely as well.

At least though June would be my guess.

I think since most states won't peak until the end of April, I see a very slow reopening during May in some areas. But I don't see having NO restrictions until the end of summer.

Virginia isn’t due to peak until mid-May and DC not until Late April or June (depending on the model). So, the seat of the federal government isn’t going to peak until mid-May through sometime in June. Things are not going to open up before then on a widespread basis.

The only people who won’t tolerate a shutdown continuing through May are the same jokers who aren’t “tolerating” it now and breaking social distancing guidelines just because.

www.wusa9.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/institute-for-health-metrics-and-evaluation-projects-when-coronavirus-covid19-could-peak-in-dc-maryland-virginia-dmv/65-4e19c59b-0373-420c-a523-a205a7d60abe

www.washingtonpost.com/local/coronavirus-peak-dc-maryland-virginia/2020/04/03/0636bc6c-75cf-11ea-87da-77a8136c1a6d_story.html

Same for us, expense-wise - though with how the stock market's going, I'm hoping our savings don't drop too dramatically.  We have already made the mental jump that this year we will not make money or even break even.  However, our mission is to provide the event and support our community, so we are already viewing this as a "rainy day" and expect to dip into the fund for that purpose.  Our expectation is that while our timing might mean that we can be a sort of "coming out party" for our community, a great many of those folks won't have the disposable income they're used to, so we will be looking at ways to cushion the financial blow while still being a venue for people to celebrate the end of seclusion.  

I think it’s going to extend into the fall after an initial restart followed by another wave and then be off and on for months after until a vaccine is tested and distributed.